Iran seems to be spurning a good nuclear deal
Dickering Over Uranium Tehran should love the U.S. offer on enrichment. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL OCTOBER 24, 2009
One sign that an adversary isn’t serious about negotiating is when it rejects even your concessions. That seemed to be the case yesterday when Iran gave signs it may turn down an offer from Russia, Europe and the U.S. to let Tehran enrich its uranium under foreign supervision outside the country. The mullahs so far won’t take yes for an answer.
Tehran had previously looked set to accept the deal, which is hardly an obstacle to its nuclear program………………..the West’s enrichment offer is already a good one for Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Iran would give up one bomb’s worth—about 2,600 pounds—of uranium enriched at its facility in Natanz to the low level of 3.5%. Russia would then enrich the uranium further to 19.75% and someone, most likely France, would put the uranium into fuel rods for transfer back to Iran for ostensible use in a civilian nuclear reactor. Western officials say this would delay Iran’s efforts to get a bomb………………
Iran insists it won’t stop enriching uranium on its own, in violation of Security Council resolutions. Aside from rewarding Iran for past misbehavior by letting it use illegally enriched uranium, this deal fails to solve the problem it is intended to solve. That’s because as long as the Natanz facility continues to enrich uranium at its current rate of about 132 pounds a month, Iran will produce enough low-enriched uranium within the year for a bomb………….
The mullahs know that President Obama is eager to show diplomatic gains from his engagement strategy, and they are going to exploit that eagerness to get every possible concession. The one thing Iran has shown no desire to bargain over is its intention to become a nuclear power.
ElBaradei: Iranian nuclear threat exaggerated
ElBaradei: Iranian nuclear threat hyped By JPOST.COM STAFF Oct 18, 2009Mohamed ElBaradei, outgoing chief of the International Atomic Energy Agency, maintains that the danger posed by Iran’s nuclear program is being exaggerated, Continue reading
Complex web of Iran and nuclear problems
Untangling Iran’s Nuclear Web Carnegie Endowment Dmitri Trenin The Moscow Times, October 5, 2009 – “……………..Any strategy needs to proceed with a few basic truths about nuclear weapons and countries that seek them. Nations seeking to join the “nuclear weapons club” are in quest for security and status. In this sense, Iran is no different from India, Pakistan, China or France. Continue reading
“atoms for peace” – nuke industry leading to war
The “peaceful” atom leading to war with Iran
Beyond Nuclear 2 Oct 09 The discovery of a second uranium enrichment facility in Qum, Iran prompted the government of Saudi Arabia to open its air space for potential Israeli air attacks on a growing number of nuclear infrastructure targets in Iran. Continue reading
Iran allows inspectors, but says no country should have nuke weapons
Iran Agrees to Nuclear Plant Inspections, Enrichment
Oct. 1 (Bloomberg) Ladane Nasseri and Gregory Viscusi–– Iran agreed to allow international inspectors to visit its new nuclear fuel plant within the next two weeks and will meet with negotiators for the U.S. and other leading United Nations powers later this month, European Union foreign policy chief Javier Solana said. Continue reading
Complexity of the Iranian nuclear problem
A bird’s-eye view of the Iranian nuclear problem AJC September 30, 2009, by Jay Bookman “………………Long term, the best hope for stopping Iran short of a nuclear weapon would be a change of government in Tehran. Continue reading
A nuclear Iran is likely to be attacked by Israel
TIMESONLINE September 16, 2009
Israel will attack a nuclear Iran, International Institute for Strategic Studies says Bronwen Maddox: CommentaryIf Iran gets nuclear weapons, Israel will make a military attack on it. Continue reading
Poltical mess in Iran is slowing nuclear program
Nuclear drive a casualty of Iran’s turmoil
Experts say Tehran is unlikely to speed up its program, giving the U.S. and its allies more time to work with.
Los Angeles Times, Special correspondent Ramin Mostaghim in Tehran contributed to this report. 29 August 09
Reporting from Beirut – Iran’s political crisis could prevent the nation from making any swift move to ratchet up its nuclear program, said analysts and officials, giving President Obama and Western allies more time to grapple with the issue.The chaos over the disputed reelection of hard-line President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad brings into question who calls the shots in Tehran, and what any deal with the Islamic Republic involving its nuclear program would look like.
The Obama administration, concerned that Tehran is seeking to amass the materials needed to manufacture nuclear weapons, set an informal deadline of September for Iran to respond positively to an offer to discuss the matter rather than risk new economic sanctions……………………..
For now, most Iran watchers agree that Tehran will not only be unable to respond positively to the Obama administration’s offer of talks, but also is in too much political disarray to make the major decisions necessary to build a nuclear weapon. Such steps would include further enriching its uranium supply to weapons grade, or constructing controversial new facilities for speeding up the process.“The nuclear dossier has been stalled and is in a stagnant position, with no back or forth moves,” said Ahmad Shirzad, an Iranian nuclear scientist and political analyst. “The recent events in Iran put all important decision-making in limbo. The postelection events have not completely unfolded, and Mr. Ahmadinejad has not come to a conclusion what to do.”
Iran’s nuclear program continuing
Iran is continuing nuclear activity, says United Nations watchdog• Country ‘fails to co-operate with energy inspectors’• West may target foreign petroleum supplies
Guardian. uk by Julian Borger 28 August 09The UN’s nuclear watchdog reported today that Iran was continuing its uranium enrichment programme in defiance of UN security council resolutions, setting the stage for possible oil and gas sanctions by the west. Continue reading
Iran’s Nuclear and Ballistic Missile Programs
Iran’s Nuclear and Ballistic Missile Programs Remain Shrouded in Secrecy
— Iran has committed numerous violations of its International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards obligations.
Centre for Arms Control and Nuclear Non-Proliferation 17 August 09
— IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei noted in a June 2008 interview that the Iranians “continue to insist that they are interested solely in using nuclear power for civilian purposes. We have yet to find a smoking gun that would prove them wrong. Continue reading
Russia says bank problems delaying Iran nuclear plant
Russia says bank problems delaying Iran nuclear plant
Washington, 10 June (WashingtonTV)—In an interview with the Interfax news agency published on Wednesday, the head of Russia’s nuclear contractor, Atomstroiexport, said that the completion of Iran’s first nuclear power plant was being delayed by Russian banks refusing to work with Tehran.
The state-owned Atomostroiexport is building the nuclear power plant in the southwestern Iranian city of Bushehr, along the Persian Gulf. The project has experienced numerous delays, including some linked to disagreements over payment terms.
“The problems with financing exist because not all Russian banks are ready to work with Iran, and we have to find alternative options,” Atomstroiexport head, Dan Belenky, told Interfax, according to AFP.
http://televisionwashington.com/floater_article1.aspx?lang=en&t=2&id=11149
Obama Acknowledges Iran’s Right to Nuclear Energy
Obama Acknowledges Iran’s Right to Nuclear Energy
NTI, June 3, 2009 U.S. President Barack Obama yesterday expressed support for Iran’s civilian nuclear power ambitions while calling on the Middle Eastern state to abandon activities that could contribute to nuclear weapons development, the Associated Press reported (see GSN, June 2)…………
……….. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad yesterday pledged to continue defying the international community’s attempts at coercion if he is re-elected to office June 12, Agence France-Presse reported.
“If I get elected, I will go to the U.N. and tell the nations there who dare to threaten Iran … hold your hands up,” the first-term president said.
“Due to your resistance, Iran is now a nuclear nation” with “space” capabilities, he added (see GSN, April 15).
The U.N. Security Council has imposed three sets of sanctions on Iran over its disputed nuclear activities. The body’s five permanent members and Germany hope to negotiate a permanent halt to Iran’s enrichment program in return for civilian nuclear energy assistance and other benefits (Siavosh Ghazi, Agence France-Presse/Google News, June 2).
http://www.globalsecuritynewswire.org/gsn/nw_20090603_5010.php
Sarkozy to meet Iran’s foreign minister
Sarkozy to meet Iran’s foreign minister Jun 2, 2009
PARIS (Reuters) – French President Nicolas Sarkozy will meet Iran’s foreign minister on Wednesday to discuss Tehran’s nuclear program, in rare talks between a leader of a major power and a senior Iranian politician…………………………
Bilateral encounters at such a senior level between Iran and one of the countries involved in the nuclear issue are highly unusual. It will be the first time Sarkozy has met a top Iranian minister since he took office in 2007.
Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman was not immediately available for comment.
The West accuses Iran of secretly developing atomic weapons. Iran, the world’s fifth-largest oil exporter, denies the charge and says it only wants nuclear power to generate electricity………………………………..Sarkozy is due to meet U.S. President Barack Obama on Saturday in France and Iran is certain to be on the agenda.
Sarkozy to meet Iran’s foreign minister Wednesday | International | Reuters
High Stakes for Moscow in U.S. Play for Iran
High Stakes for Moscow in U.S. Play for IranThe Moscow Times By Fyodor Lukyanov April 16, 2009 The situation in Iran will likely become the center of global tensions in the months and years ahead. Tehran’s desire to establish its status as a regional power will surely clash with Washington’s desire to solidify its own global leadership role. And Russia, which has one foot in both camps, will find itself in an increasingly difficult position………….
……………….Iran is a problem for Russia regardless of which direction Tehran goes. A nuclear-armed Iran would greatly destabilize the region. It is difficult to predict the extent and aim of Iran’s ambitions. Any attempt by the United States to apply force against Iran would mean that the military conflict would be brought to Russia’s southern border. Moreover, if Washington achieves its objectives in Iran, it would shift the strategic balance of power in favor of the United States and away from Moscow. But a failure by the United States to achieve its goals in Iran could undermine the existing balance of power.
Khatami: Israeli nukes the problem
Khatami: Israeli nukes the problem
The Age Daniel Flitton * March 26, 2009IRAN’s former president, Mohammad Khatami, has rejected claims that the Islamic republic is secretly developing nuclear weapons.Speaking in Melbourne yesterday, Dr Khatami said neighbouring countries with atomic arsenal pose a far greater threat to Middle East stability.”If there is a real concern about proliferation, we have to tackle the problem of these countries right now having nuclear arms in the region, not putting pressure on a country that doesn’t have such intention and there is no strategy of having nuclear weapons,” he said.Dr Khatami did not name countries, however Israel is the only Middle Eastern country said to posses nuclear weapons — a program Tel Aviv has never officially acknowledged.
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26 September – International Day for the Total Elimination of Nuclear Weapons
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