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Financial failure of Duke Energy’s nuclear plants

Ten years of fast-rising electric rates reveal Duke Energy Florida is not competitive Tampa Bay Times, Robert Trigaux, 14 Oct 13 “……..Duke Energy, which last year bought Progress Energy Florida, has done a lousy job over the past decade running its power plants. This is the company that permanently closed the Crystal River 3 nuclear power plant after what should have been a routine maintenance upgrade.

This is the same company that said it would build a nuclear power plant in Levy County. It charged customers in advance to help start Levy, only to shelve the price-gone-wild project years later.

Customers were charged billions. No electricity was generated.

How did this mess happen? Where were the watchdogs? Why can’t Duke Energy Florida be held accountable for squandering ratepayer money and jacking up rates?……

On Wednesday, the Florida Public Service Commission — a puppet of the utilities it is supposed to regulate — will meet and probably rubber-stamp a proposed settlement.

If the PSC accepts this settlement, Duke will not have to defend its wasting nearly $3 billion forced upon customers to pay in return for delivering zero electricity. Nor will it have to justify why it should get to keep $250 million it made on its two defunct nuclear projects.

Nor is this the end. Higher rates await in the years ahead. If Duke really was Store One in a free market, its customers would flee elsewhere. Instead, they must stay and suffer. The business gods must be crazy.

October 16, 2013 Posted by | business and costs, USA | Leave a comment

Nuclear industry doesn’t like electricity pricing to shift according to demand

scrutiny-on-costsNuclear Plants Vexed at Prices That Shift as Demand Does NYT,  By   October 8, 2013“……Today energy in most of the United States is priced hourly in a deregulated market far different from the one of regulated power plant construction that ushered in the nation’s reactors in the 1960s and 1970s. Generators — whether coal-fired plants, wind farms or reactors — are paid varying amounts over the course of the day, but in periods of light demand and high winds the price goes below zero, so generators have to pay to put kilowatt-hours on the grid and hope to make up for the loss at other times. Only wind generators, which earn a subsidy per kilowatt-hour generated, make money in Flag-USAthat situation.

For nuclear plants, which cannot vary their production hour by hour, the pricing mechanism is a substantial blow, as is the low value placed on reactors’ ability to produce electricity when needed, as opposed to wind and sun, which produce electricity when nature cooperates……..
 The markets are designed “to be open to all fuels and all technologies,” said Robert G. Ethier, vice president of market development at ISO-New England, the independent system operator that manages the grid in the six New England states. “We don’t take a position on what’s a good fuel and bad fuel.”

Decisions about new generating stations are being made by entrepreneurs rather than public utilities, he said, and entrepreneurs are unlikely to do what the utilities used to: commit to expensive generating stations that could take a decade to build.

In fact, the only places in the United States where new reactors are under construction are states like South Carolina and Georgia, where the decisions are still made by public utilities commissions and big utilities, not small companies judging market conditions and then building modest “merchant” generators……

It is bad enough for nuclear operators that the market does not favor new reactor construction, but lately evidence is mounting that it is also undermining the viability of old ones, they say…….http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/09/business/energy-environment/nuclear-plants-vexed-at-prices-that-shift-as-demand-does.html

October 10, 2013 Posted by | business and costs, USA | Leave a comment

Delays loom for Turkey’s nuclear power project

Turkey’s first nuclear power plant likely to be delayed By Humeyra Pamuk and Orhan Coskun ANKARA | Tue Oct 8,  (Reuters) – Turkey’s first nuclear power plant is likely to be delayed by at least a year, a source close to the plans said on Tuesday, as bureaucratic hurdles hamper the $20 billion project….. its first planned 4,800 megawatt (MW) plant, being built by Russia’s Rosatom, is already falling behind schedule, with the first reactor unlikely to be operational by 2019 as planned.

“Production in 2019 is not possible. 2020 is more likely,” one source close to the project told Reuters, noting that a nuclear reactor on this scale would need a test period of at least six to 12 months before it could be fully operational…..http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/10/08/us-turkey-nuclear-delay-idUSBRE9970D120131008

October 10, 2013 Posted by | business and costs, Turkey | Leave a comment

Unless Japan restarts nuclear reactors, uranium industry could be finshed

graph-down-uranium“Due to the huge impact of reduced demand from Japan, the reactor-restart story is likely to continue to be the main factor affecting the spot uranium price over the coming few months,

No Nukes, No Uranium BARRON’s By RHIANNON HOYLE   6 Oct 13   Japan’s 2011 disaster at Fukushima still weighs on national energy policies worldwide, as well as the commodity’s price. DJ-AIG Commodity Indexes  Uranium prices are edging higher after a recent plunge to nearly eight-year lows, but that’s no reason for investors to pile in.

Demand for the nuclear fuel isn’t ramping up as expected. Japan, a major uranium user, has been slow to restart nuclear operations after the 2011 earthquake and tsunami that devastated the Fukushima Daiichi power plant, and stockpiles of U3O8—the most actively traded compound of uranium—are growing.
Prices were down 22% when they hit their nadir last month. At $34 a pound, the commodity was worth just half what it had traded for prior to Fukushima.

Uranium is now trading at about $35 a pound as prices gravitate back toward the material’s production cost, which some analysts estimate to be $40 a pound.  Continue reading

October 6, 2013 Posted by | business and costs, Uranium | Leave a comment

Does USA even need the super-expensive new uranium processing facility ?

scrutiny-on-costsFlag-USACosts for new nuclear facility skyrocket as critics question its creation  By Barnini Chakraborty  October 04, 2013 FoxNews.com  WASHINGTON –  Plans for a new facility that will handle, dismantle and secure nuclear material are in a major meltdown.

The price tag attached to the country’s largest uranium processing facility under the direction of the Department of Energy has climbed to more than 19 times its original estimate. What’s worse is that much of the Tennessee complex, according to the government’s own calculations, isn’t needed and the rest will most likely be outdated when the facility becomes fully operational — two decades from now. Continue reading

October 5, 2013 Posted by | business and costs, Uranium, USA, weapons and war | Leave a comment

Nuclear marketing: now USA is selling nuclear technology to China

Buy-US-nukesChicago Bridge to Build China’s Nuclear Plant by Zacks Equity Research October 04, 2013 “……Chicago Bridge announced on Oct 1 that it has agreed with CPI’s Power Engineering Company, (a subsidiary of China Power Investment Corporation) to form a joint venture to construct nuclear power plants in China…..According to the agreement, Chicago Bridge is required to provide engineering, procurement, construction management, commissioning, project management and technical support services for the nuclear plants that are to be constructed.

China Power Investment Corporation is China’s biggest power generation company, which owns one of the three nuclear power plants in China. These power plants are planned and funded by the China Power Investment Corporation.    ….http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/110904/chicago-bridge-to-build-chinas-nuclear-plant

October 5, 2013 Posted by | China, marketing, USA | Leave a comment

For business and investment, you can forget nuclear power

see-this.wayIn 5 Charts, Here’s Why Nuclear Energy Is Going Nowhere  HAVE BEEN SHUTTERED THIS YEAR, THE RESULT OF RUNAWAY EXPENSES AND AN INABILITY TO COMPETE WITH CHEAP NATURAL GAS PRODUCED BY THE SHALE BOOM.

So you may not need more reason to think nuclear is going nowhere.

But here are five more charts, via a Citi team led by Jason Channell, showing that nuclear is not only on the wane in America, but also around the world.

Nuclear now requires an up-front investment 5x greater than gas on a per Watt basis.

graph-comparative-costs-1

 

Capital costs comparison….

Operational costs comparison….

Nuclear investment already trailing solar….

Demand for renewables greater than for nuclear….

New power generation capacity in China ….  And here’s team Citi’s take on why all this is so.

The capital cost of nuclear build has actually risen in recent decades in some developed markets, partly due to increased safety expenditure, and due to smaller construction programmes (i.e. lower economies of scale). Moreover the ‘fixed cost’ nature of nuclear generation in combination with its relatively high price (when back end liabilities are taken into account) also places the technology at a significant disadvantage; utilities are reluctant to enter into a very long term (20+ years of operation, and decades of aftercare provisioning) investment with almost no control over costs post commissioning, with the uncertainty and rates of change currently occurring in the energy mix. As an example, one need only look at the ongoing debate in the UK over the next generation of nuclear build, and the reluctance of most parties to commit.

A good run, but time to step aside.    http://www.businessinsider.com.au/5-charts-that-show-nuclear-is-declining-2013-10

October 4, 2013 Posted by | 2 WORLD, business and costs | Leave a comment

Uranium company Paladin downgraded by investment analysts

Translating business language  – “outperform”  – means good to invest. “Sector Perform” mean s not so good

Outperform. The stock’s total return is projected to exceed the average return of the industry (or its sector or its peers). This means the stock will perform better than the competition and is likely rated a “Buy”.

 Sector  Perform). The stock is expected to perform in line with the average return of the market or sector or its peers. Similar to a “Hold” or a “Neutral” rating.

Paladin Energy Limited Downgraded to Sector Perform at RBC Capital (PDN) North fork vue.com October 2nd, 2013 Paladin Energy Limited (ASX:PDN) was downgraded by investment analysts at RBC Capital from an “outperform” rating to a “sector perform” rating in a note issued to investors on Wednesday, American Banking News reports. They currently have a A$0.80 ($0.75) price target on the stock……..

A number of other analysts have also recently weighed in on PDN. Analysts at TD Securities cut their price target on shares of Paladin Energy Limited (ASX:PDN) from A$0.90 ($0.84) to A$0.65 ($0.61) in a research note to investors on Friday, August 30th. They now have a “hold” rating on the stock. Separately, analysts at BMO Capital Markets cut their price target on shares of Paladin Energy Limited (ASX:PDN) from A$0.80 ($0.75) to A$0.60 ($0.56) in a research note to investors on Friday, August 30th. Finally, analysts at Raymond James downgraded shares of Paladin Energy Limited (ASX:PDN) from an “outperform” rating to a “market perform” rating in a research note to investors on Monday, August 5th. Three equities research analysts have rated the stock with a hold rating and one has issued a buy rating to the stock. The stock presently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of A$0.96 ($0.90).

Paladin Energy Ltd (ASX:PDN) is a uranium production company with projects in Australia and two operating mines in Africa. http://www.northforkvue.com/finance/10712/paladin-energy-limited-downgraded-to-sector-perform-at-rbc-capital-pdn/

October 4, 2013 Posted by | AUSTRALIA, business and costs | 1 Comment

Cripplingly low uranium price forces Paladin to cut costs

Paladin cuts top-echelon base salaries, overall spending amid low uranium price TIMES COLONIST OCTOBER 2, 2013 PERTH, Australia – Paladin Energy Ltd (TSX:PDN) is cutting the base salaries of its board and management by 10 per cent as part of cost-saving measures due to low spot prices for uranium — its main commodity.

In total, the miner — which lists its shares on the Toronto and Australian stock markets — is aiming to reduce cash costs for its 2014 financial year by US$23 million.

diagram-Paladin-network

The cuts include a $10.8-million reduction in spending on overhead and exploration and a US$12.4-million reduction in discretionary capital spending at two mines in southern Africa….The Langer Heinrich mine in central Namibia will see its capital spending cut by US$10 million compared with the 2013 financial year while a further $2 million will be cut from the capital budget for the Kayelekera mine in Malawi. http://www.timescolonist.com/business/paladin-cuts-top-echelon-base-salaries-overall-spending-amid-low-uranium-price-1.645930

October 4, 2013 Posted by | AUSTRALIA, business and costs | Leave a comment

Japanese firm very keen to sell nuclear technology to Britain

Buy-Japan's-nukes-2Toshiba wants majority stake in British nuclear consortium: CEO By Sophie Knight and Maki Shiraki TOKYO | Thu Oct 3, 2013  

(Reuters) – Toshiba Corp wants a majority stake in British nuclear consortium NuGen and aims to decide on the matter before the end of the year, its chief executive said, as it seeks its first order for a nuclear reactor since the Fukushima crisis in 2011.

Hisao Tanaka told Reuters in an interview on Thursday that the company was confident about securing orders for 29 new nuclear reactors by March 2018 and that he sensed post-Fukushima anti-nuclear sentiment had begun to thaw……http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/10/03/us-toshiba-nuclear-idUKBRE99204I20131003

October 4, 2013 Posted by | Japan, marketing | Leave a comment

Financial meltdown facing Central New York nuclear plants

nuclear-costs1Central New York nuclear plants struggle to avoid financial meltdown Syracuse.com, By Tim Knauss | tknauss@syracuse.com    September 29, 2013 SCRIBA, N.Y. – As recently as four years ago, nuclear power companies were planning to spend billions of dollars to build a new reactor in Oswego County, alongside three existing nuclear plants.

Then the bottom fell out. Natural gas-burning power plants that benefit from a glut of cheap gas produced by hydrofracking cut wholesale electricity prices in half.

Now the outlook for nuclear power plants is so bleak that Wall Street analysts say one or more Upstate nuclear plants could go out of business if conditions don’t change.

Two Upstate nukes in particular – the James A. FitzPatrick Nuclear Power Plant in Oswego County and the R.E. Ginna Nuclear Power Plant in nearby Wayne County – are high on the watch list of plants that industry experts say are at risk of closing for economic reasons……Nuclear critics and industry supporters finally agree on something: Nuclear power, the bedrock of Oswego County’s economy and the biggest source of electricity in Central New York, faces a financial crisis…….

“We should expect more early (plant) retirements,” nuclear critic Mark Cooper, senior fellow at the Institute for Energy and the Environment at Vermont Law School, wrote in a July report. “Rising costs of an aging fleet and the availability of lower cost alternatives are likely to persist over the next couple of decades.”

Across the country, four nukes have shut down this year — the first plant retirements in 15 years — and a fifth announced it will close next year……

The fragile finances of nuclear power have provided new ammunition to anti-nuclear groups. In March, prior to the announcement of Vermont Yankee’s shutdown, a coalition of four groups petitioned the NRC to suspend Entergy’s license to operate FitzPatrick and Vermont Yankee arguing that the plants produce insufficient revenue to maintain and operate the reactors safely. Entergy has not yet responded to the petition…….http://www.syracuse.com/news/index.ssf/2013/09/oswego_county_nuclear_plants_struggle_to_avoid_financial_meltdown.html

September 30, 2013 Posted by | business and costs, USA | Leave a comment

Cut subsidies to fossil fuel industries – says International Monetary Fund

logo-IMFIMF: The Murky Cobweb Of Energy Subsidies http://www.energymatters.com.au/index.php?main_page=news_article&article_id=3961 29 Sept 13 Solar power subsidies are a drop in the bucket compared to the gravy train the fossil fuel sector still rides. The International Monetary Fund has pledged to “shine a light on the murky cobweb of energy subsidies”.

In an address to the UN High-Level Forum on Sustainable Development;  IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde spoke of a triple challenge facing the planet – economic instability, environmental damage and insufficient equity.  ”We cannot view these in isolation. Each feeds on and magnifies the other,” she said.

Lagarde,-ChristineMs. Largarde stated energy subsidies, including tax subsidies, came to almost $2 trillion in 2011; “a whopping 2½ percent of global GDP that could have been used more wisely.”

Even US President Barack Obama has recognised enough is enough. Earlier this year, he proposed billions more be invested in renewable energy and the elimination of $4 billion in fossil fuel subsidies in his 2014 budget proposal.

In recent years the International Energy Agency (IEA) has also repeatedly called for a winding back of fossil fuel subsidies, which are at times obscured from public view. “Governments need to stop hiding their handouts to oil, gas and coal and come clean,” says the IEA.

Renewable energy subsidies are the relatively new kid on the block, as is the industry itself – and it’s not unusual for fledgling sectors to require a helping hand. However, the fossil fuel sector has been around for well over a century, has been hugely profitable for much of the time; yet has had its snout firmly planted in the public trough for decades – and still does today.

While renewables such as solar power have still flourished on an uneven playing field; with fossil fuel subsidisation wound back and the support diverted to renewable energy, a cheap yet clean energy future will arrive even faster.

September 30, 2013 Posted by | 2 WORLD, business and costs, ENERGY, politics, Reference | Leave a comment

Even Eskom admits nuclear power is by far South Africa’s most expensive energy option

nuclear-costs1The intended nuclear plan would be “very costly” and if anything went wrong it would have a devastating impact on people and the environment

Doubts over nuclear costs Business Report (South Africa) September 29 2013   By Donwald Pressly. REUTERS The Government is forging ahead with its nuclear build programme to boost the electricity supply although details of its costings are scant, but Eskom’s own figures indicate it will be the most expensive option.

In the wake of an announcement on Thursday by Energy Minister Ben Martins that a flag-S.Africadetailed costing and the extent of the nuclear programme would be made known before the end of the financial year, a range of organisations have come out against the government’s stance in favour of extending South Africa’s nuclear power footprint beyond Koeberg…….

.While Eskom has not provided recent build programme cost estimates, it did provide comparative figures in its third multiyear price determination application to Nersa of gas, coal, wind, solar and concentrated solar power (CSP). Nuclear ended up being the most expensive by far. Continue reading

September 30, 2013 Posted by | business and costs, politics, South Africa | Leave a comment

TEPCO applies to restart Kashiwazaki Kariwa nuclear plant

Mr Izumida, a strident critic of TEPCO, said he was allowing the utility to apply for safety approval, but withholding final judgment on restarting the plant.

“Kashiwazaki Kariwa nuclear power plant may be halted, but it is a living facility, and safety must be ensured at the plant,” he said in a statement.

He had previously denounced TEPCO as unfit to run a nuclear plant and has called for the company’s liquidation.

exclamation-flag-japanFukushima operator TEPCO seeks restart of Japan’s Kashiwazaki Kariwa nuclear plant http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-09-27/fukushima-operator-seeks-reactor-restart/4985444  27 Sept 13   TEPCO has applied to restart a nuclear plant in north-western Japan, an initial step on its planned recovery from the Fukushima nuclear disaster.

But final approval to resume power generation at the Kashiwazaki Kariwa facility, the world’s largest nuclear plant, 300 kilometres north west of Tokyo, is uncertain and any decision would take many months at best. Continue reading

September 28, 2013 Posted by | business and costs, Japan, politics | Leave a comment

Financially no chance for a nuclear power plant in Utah

bad-smell-nukeFlag-USAExpert calls proposed Utah nuclear power plant a ‘non-starter’ Trial » Energy analyst says Blue Castle lacks financing, market for proposed Utah project. By Brian Maffly The Salt Lake Tribune Sep 26 2013  Lacking sufficient financing and a real market, Blue Castle Holdings has no hope of developing a nuclear power plant in Utah, according to an energy analyst who testified Thursday in a trial over the project’s water rights.

“You can’t sell 14-cent power in a market where power costs 8 or 10 cents [per kilowatt-hour]. That’s why the nuclear renaissance has collapsed. If you can’t compete, you can’t raise money to build these projects,” said Mark Cooper in an interview, echoing his testimony in Price’s 7th District Court……..

The week-long trial before Judge George Harmond focuses on whether the state appropriately assigned 53,000 acre feet of water to the Blue Castle project. Closing arguments are scheduled Friday, but Harmond is not expected to rule right away…….

The suit, brought by Utah environmental groups and local water users, attacks the only issue in the nuclear controversy where the state exercises control. Should Blue Castle secure the right to suck enough water out of the Green River to supply a city the size of Orem, its proposal will rest entirely in the hands of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC).

To secure a water right, state law requires a finding that the proposed purpose is economically and physically feasible, is in the public interest, and financing is available. Blue Castle fails on all these points, according to Cooper, a fellow for economic analysis in the Institute for Energy and the Environment at Vermont Law School…….”The only states where [nuclear reactors] are being built is in states where the risk has been shifted to the ratepayers,” Cooper said. http://www.sltrib.com/sltrib/politics/56920646-90/nuclear-blue-castle-project.html.csp

September 28, 2013 Posted by | business and costs, USA | Leave a comment