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Iran’s moderate Rouhani government in danger, if U.S. President Donald Trump scraps Tehran’s nuclear deal

Nuclear deal a challenge for Rouhani as Iran hardliners close in, Parisa Hafezi, ANKARA (Reuters) 4 May 18 – Iran’s hardliners are preparing to bring President Hassan Rouhani to heel if U.S. President Donald Trump scraps Tehran’s nuclear deal with major powers, officials and analysts believe.

Trump has threatened to abrogate the 2015 agreement by not extending sanctions waivers when they expire on May 12, if Britain, France and Germany do not “fix” its “terrible flaws”.

This sets the stage for a resurgence of political infighting within Iran’s complex power structure, Iranian officials said.

Annulment of the accord could tip the balance of power in favor of hardliners looking to constrain the relatively moderate Rouhani’s ability to open up to the West.

While the spotlight is on Trump’s eventual decision there will be a display of unity in Tehran, a senior Iranian official told Reuters, on condition of anonymity.

“But when the crisis is over, hardliners will try to weaken and sideline the president,” the official said.

Nor can the president expect any weakening of Iran’s system of clerical rule as a result of the uncertainty surrounding the nuclear deal, meaning “Rouhani will be in a no-win situation”, said a relative of Khamenei.

For Rouhani the stakes are high. If the deal falls apart, he could become politically vulnerable for promoting the 2015 accord, under which non-nuclear sanctions were lifted in return for Tehran curbing its nuclear program.

“It will also lead to a backlash against the moderates and pro-reformers who backed Rouhani’s detente policy with the West … and any hope for moderation at home in the near future will fizzle out,” said political analyst Hamid Farahvashian.

It is a delicate balance. Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei knows that Iranians, many of whom took to the streets earlier this year to protest against high food prices, can only take so much economic pressure.

….. The internal politics will make it difficult, if not impossible, for Rouhani to pursue detente with the West and make concessions in return for economic gains,” said another Iranian government official.


May 5, 2018 - Posted by | Iran, politics

1 Comment »

  1. Trump wants a thrid world neo-feudal, imperialist, war, economy in murica. He wants the war machine to grow and the rest of america to go to hell.

    He wants to continue to destroy the environment, with craply old reactors, nuclear waste, new nuclear weapons.

    He wants a few, to own everything like it was in the last great depression in america. He wants workers to have little or no medical or crappy medical, like medicaid . No unions. Unaffordable housing. Not paid enough money to get housing. That is so that, when a slave drone burns out, another slave drone is burned out, it will not make any waves and, a new one will be ready to take it’s place.

    Look at what they have done to teachers, workers, healthcare in this country. Look at their readiness to gin up the nuclear arms race!

    Teachers are telling the truth though. As the evil bastard trump and his enablers like bezos, prepares to make war and waste trillions of dollars and millions of lives, teachers tell the truth.
    Finally a journalist says the truth and calls the crash of 2008 for wat it is a great depression

    “Contrary to the corporate media’s efforts to portray these teacher mobilizations as a reaction to Republican Party cutbacks, striking teachers have documented with mathematical precision that the most intense attacks on public education, social services, and teacher pay began with the Great Depression of 2008 and were implemented under the Democratic Party administration of Barack Obama.”

    Comment by Kara | May 8, 2018 | Reply

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