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It’s September in the Arctic. A time of year when temperatures should be cooling off. But with sea ice at second lowest levels on record in most monitors and the globe experiencing an unprecedented hot year, it appears that the next week may see the Arctic Ocean reverse its typical seasonal cooling trend and significantly warm up over the coming 5-6 days.

(GFS models runs show a significant warming is in store for the Arctic Ocean over the coming week. And that’s probably bad news for sea ice running at second lowest levels on record in the current daily measures and lowest levels on record for the first 8 months of the year so far. Image source: Climate Reanalyzer.)

GFS model runs show a strong pulse of warm air rising up over the Atlantic Ocean and Barents Sea within about 72 hours. This warm air then rides in over…