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Toshiba’s Economic Nuclear Meltdown

How Washington Is Fighting For Russia’s Old Europe Energy Market, Forbes, Kenneth Rapoza , 17 May 16

“………Toshiba’s Economic Meltdown

Toshiba’s problems are Westinghouse’s problems. In Europe, going after the Russian market is a survival tactic.

Toshiba used to design and build reactors for half of Japan, also supplying those reactors with fuel. The March 2011 Fukushima disaster lit a match to those service contracts. Toshiba’s Fukushima reactors are decommissioned.

After Fukushima, Germany shut its reactors down, and they also used Westinghouse as a source for fuel rods, the assembly units that store the uranium that ultimately powers the reactor and makes energy. In less than two years, the company lost contracts at 60 reactors.

They were hemorrhaging money. Between 2012 and 2014, Westinghouse Electric’s cumulative operating losses reached $1.43 billion, according to Toshiba. Which means the company has no taxable income and, thus, is not paying taxes in the U.S. until its cumulative profits exceed that amount.

Their fuel fabrication plant in Västerås was on the verge of closing down.

Then the Ukrainian crisis came along. The Russians became super-duper bad guys and energy diversification was quickly put in play. While gas makes the headlines, nuclear power accounts for more than half of Ukraine’s electricity.

In March 2014, shortly after the annexation of Crimea and the first round of sanctions, the European Commission published an energy security strategy that included nukes as part of Europe’s energy diversification away from Russia. The EU issued a grant for $2.2

million to subsidize nuclear fuel diversification for Eastern European reactors. Guess who got the grant?

After the Czech Republic deal, Westinghouse secured a contract with the Bulgarian government to build a new AP1000 reactor at the Kozloduy nuclear power plant. It followed Bulgaria’s Prime Minister Boyko Borisov’s decision to suspend the construction of a two reactor power plant in Belene, a joint project between Bulgaria’s National Electric Company and Rosatom. What became known as the “Belene saga” would later cost the Bulgarians $1.3 billion in payments and legal fees to Rosatom for not honoring a 2008 contract. The Russians, of course, think they were boondoggled.

Borisov practically admitted that the decision to scrap Belene and award the Kozloduy project to Westinghouse was more political than not. During a meeting with the American Chamber of Commerce, the Bulgarian News Agency quoted Borisov saying “We are one. We are friends… We stop Russian planes, we also stop three Russian (energy) projects, and if we aren’t your partners, then who is?”

Cheerleading From The State Department

An Oct. 30, 2015 unclassified State Department emails dated March 28, 2012 from Richard Morningstar, Special Envoy for Eurasian Energy, addressed to Clinton’s Chief of Staff Huma Abedin, showed that Morningstar asked Abedin to pass on the message to Clinton that Bulgarian Foreign Minister Nikolay Mladenov told Morningstar his government had just canceled the Belene nuclear power project with Rosatom. He added that “Westinghouse is talking with the Bulgarians about doing a project at Kozloduy using the Russian reactor,” which probably means being the supplier of fuel rods instead of TVEL. The director of policy planning, Jacob Sullivan, was forwarded the email by Morningstar, to which Sullivan replied, “Not bad work.”

As competition between TVEL and Westinghouse continues, the United States will keep supporting Westinghouse projects, both politically and financially, to diminish the Kremlin’s influence, according to Stratfor.

“It would be wrong to suggest that no political influence takes place in the bidding process,” wrote Trusted Sources energy analysts led by James Henderson in an October 2014 study. 

Nuclear power accounts for 27% of the EU’s electricity generation via 131 units in 16 countries, according to a June 2014 study by the European Commission. Historically, in Eastern Europe, Russian share in nuclear tech market has been nearly 100%. Over the years, the industry has modernized to a point where any third party can build fuel rods to fit a competitor’s reactor.

Westinghouse can build fuel assemblies for Rosatom’s new and old-model reactors and vice-versa, with varying degrees of success and almost always at a higher price. Russia is the cheaper producer of the two, so when countries turn to Westinghouse for the fuel assemblies, they have to pay a premium for diversification.

The Russians have an edge. Rosatom has won all fuel supply tenders in Eastern Europe in the last 10 years, but back home in Russia there are no tenders to be head. None of 35 reactors operated by Rosatom in Russia have fuel suppliers other than TVEL. It’s a monopoly. That’s how they both get volume, money and the data necessary for quality improvement; a luxury Westinghouse does not have.

One source who wished to remain anonymous said Westinghouse is looking for market share in the fuel services markets of East Europe, because, “It’s the only way to prevent their looming insolvency,” this source said. “Their new reactor division is loss-making, the fuel division is their only cash cow and it is not growing and existing margins are getting slimmer and slimmer. We think Westinghouse has spent millions of dollars to include nuclear fuel as part of the energy security narrative, and the current E.U. sentiment against Russia play into their hand.”…….. http://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2016/05/17/washingtons-european-energy-security-boondoggle/#4247a5f362ef

May 21, 2016 Posted by | business and costs, politics international, USA | Leave a comment

Russia aims to set up a nuclear sales empire, now pushing nuclear power to South East Asia

Putin Pushes Nuclear Power To Southeast Asia, Forbes, Kenneth Rapoza 20 May 16 Russian president Vladimir Putin did some lobbying for state owned Rosatom in Sochi on Friday, telling southeast Asian countries there that it was time to go nuclear.

Russia colonialism

“The level of cooperation between Russia and ASEAN in the fuel and energy sphere needs to be taken to a new level,” Putin was quoted as saying in the local press today. ASEAN stands for Association of Southeast Asian Nations. “Moscow is ready to cover the market and is ready to offer member countries projects on the construction of next generation nuclear electrical power stations,” he said during the Russia-ASEAN Summit in Sochi.

None of the 10 ASEAN nations are currently hooked up to nuclear power…..Rosatom is the world’s third largest developer of nuclear reactors. Its subsidiary TVEL producers fuel assembly rods, the technology that holds the uranium used to power the reactor and generate electricity. It competes with Westinghouse Electric Company, AREVA Inc. and now Chinese companies are starting to get in on the action, primarily in China but also in Eastern Europe, an historic strong hold for Russian utilities…..

No reactor deals between Rosatom and ASEAN nations have been signed at this time. http://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2016/05/20/putin-pushes-nuclear-power-to-southeast-asia/#6ec263f32e0a

May 21, 2016 Posted by | ASIA, marketing, Russia | Leave a comment

Russia to build Bushehr Nuclear Plant in Iran

Russian-Bearflag-Iran‘A Partner We Can Trust’: Iran Chooses Russia to Build Bushehr Nuke Plant Russia’s State Atomic Energy Corporation, Rosatom, will start work on Iran’s Bushehr-2 nuclear power plant by the end of this year after the construction site preparations are completed……

Russia has already built a power plant in Bushehr. The agreement for the construction of the Bushehr nuclear power plant was finalized in 1995, but the project was delayed several times due to a number of technical and financial issues……http://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20160520/1039943927/iran-russia-bushehr.html

May 21, 2016 Posted by | Iran, marketing, politics international, Russia | Leave a comment

Russia runs pro nuclear workshop in Vietnam

nuclear-marketing-crapWorkshop promotes nuclear power A workshop to enhance the understanding of nuclear power among people and media alike was held on May 19 in Hanoi. The event, part of activities of the “2016 Nuclear Science Day in Hanoi ,” was jointly organised by Russia ‘s State Nuclear Energy Corporation (ROSATOM), the Vietnam Atomic Energy Agency under the Ministry of Science and Technology, the Information Center on Nuclear Energy (ICONE) and the Hanoi University of Technology.

Speaking at the event, Andrey Stankevich from ROSATOM Vietnam attached significance to publicity work to promote the development of nuclear energy…….

Communication work is crucial to raise public awareness of the development of the nuclear sector and get people’s approval of nuclear power,  said Deputy Director of the Agency Nguyen Thi Thu Trang

According to the representative from ROSATOM Asia, the press and media need to be a reliable source of basic information on radiation, nuclear science and the safety of nuclear power plants.

They should also promote the benefits of the sector in terms of socio-economic development, health care, agriculture and industry.

Numerous activities will also take place during the “2016 Nuclear Science Day in Hanoi” programme, which runs until May 20, including a lecture by a professor from the Russia National Research Nuclear University (MEPhI) and an awards presentation for the recent Physics Olympiad winners. http://english.vietnamnet.vn/fms/science-it/156747/workshop-promotes-nuclear-power.html

May 21, 2016 Posted by | marketing, Russia, Vietnam | Leave a comment

Russia looks to nuclear colonise Africa

Russia colonialismRussia’s Rosatom seeks cooperation agreements for African nuclear expansion By Wendell Roelf CAPE TOWN (Reuters) 20 May 16, – Russia’s state nuclear agency Rosatom plans to sign cooperation agreements with Kenya, Uganda and Zambia to lay the groundwork for an expanded presence in Sub-Saharan Africa beyond its planned bid to build nuclear power plants in South Africa.

Rosatom has voiced confidence in its ability to see off competition from China, France and South Korea in a planned South African tender to build a 9,600 megawatts (MW) nuclear power fleet in the continent’s most industrialised country. It sees scope, however, for more deals across the region, from the building of plants to supplying reactor fuel……

Victor Polikarpov, Rosatom’s regional vice-president for Sub-Saharan Africa, said on Thursday.

“We want South Africa to become our springboard for the rest of Africa. We want to create a nuclear cluster, a group of companies here that can operate with us in Africa.”

President Jacob Zuma’s government was checking the financial and commercial impact of its nuclear ambitions before it issues a tender.

South Africa’s 1,800 MW Koeberg station near Cape Town is the continent’s only commercial nuclear power plant at present, though Rosatom is building a nuclear plant in Egypt that is expected to be completed by 2022.

Meanwhile, South Africa’s nuclear energy corporation Necsa is being encouraged by government to revive nuclear enrichment and conversion facilities to reduce dependence on imported reactor fuels……

Rosatom’s Polikarpov, however, said it might not be viable for South Africa to restart enrichment facilities dismantled before white minority rule ended in 1994.

“Another solution is just to have fuel supplied from Russia. We can guarantee supply of fuel non-stop for the duration of operation of all power plants,” he said.

Nigeria, however, looks a more distant prospect as its economy contracts amid the global plunge in oil prices.

“Given the extremely bad economic situation in Nigeria today, it might take a bit longer. But the government and the new president are still determined to go nuclear,” Polikarpov said.

(Editing by James Macharia and David Goodman) http://af.reuters.com/article/investingNews/idAFKCN0YA1CH

May 21, 2016 Posted by | AFRICA, marketing, Russia | Leave a comment

‘Generation IV’ nuclear companies desperate for tax-payers’ money

Emperor's New Clothes 3

hungry-nukes 1Flag-USANuclear Firms: More Federal Money for Advanced Reactors. Bloomberg BNA,  By Rebecca Kern May 17 — Nuclear companies said in a Senate hearing that continued support from Congress is needed to further develop and commercialize advanced nuclear reactors, several of which are getting some Department of Energy funding.

“Successful completion of the DOE cost-share program depends on sustained congressional support and continued appropriations,” John Hopkins, chairman and chief executive officer of NuScale Power LLC, an advanced nuclear reactor company, said at a May 17 Senate Energy and Natural Resources hearing on advanced reactors. “We appreciate your past support and we ask that you continue to prioritize small modular reactor programs in a tight budgetary environment.”……

NuScale has been receiving cost-share grants from the DOE since 2013 and expects to submit its first-of-a-kind small modular reactor licensing application to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission by the end of 2016, Hopkins said……

John Gilleland, chief technical officer of TerraPower LLC—a nuclear design company developing a generation-four reactor—also said there is a need for more government funding….

TerraPower is working with the China National Nuclear Corporation, an economic corporation overseen by the Chinese government, to develop a 1,200 megawatt electric liquid sodium-cooled fast reactor that uses depleted uranium as fuel in the metallic form. They hope it will be commercially deployable in the 2020-2030 time frame, Gilleland told Bloomberg BNA May 17.

Support for Advanced Nuclear Bills

Jacob DeWitte, co-founder and chief executive officer of Oklo, an advanced reactor start-up company, lauded the work done by the committee to pass the Energy Policy Modernization Act (S. 2012) in late April (76 ECR, 4/20/16). The bill included language from a bill sponsored by Sen. Mike Crapo (R-Idaho) that would establish a National Nuclear Innovation Center between the Energy Department and the NRC to establish capabilities for the private sector to test and demonstrate advanced reactor concepts.

He also supported S. 2795 introduced by Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.) that would promote the development of advanced nuclear technologies, which is being marked-up by the Senate Environment and Public Works committee this week…..

Also, Rep. Bob Latta (R-Ohio) has introduced H.R. 4979 which would direct DOE and the NRC to work together on an advanced nuclear reactor framework. This bill will be marked up by the House Energy and Commerce committee this week (92 ECR, 5/12/16)……

To contact the reporter on this story: Rebecca Kern in Washington atrkern@bna.com

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Larry Pearl atlpearl@bna.com    http://www.bna.com/nuclear-firms-federal-n57982072580/

May 20, 2016 Posted by | business and costs, politics, USA | Leave a comment

Russia plans for Africa to be its nuclear colony, starting with south Africa

Russian-Bearflag-S.AfricaHow Russia Is Expanding Its Vast Nuclear Empire Into Africa, AFK Insider By Dana Sanchez   May 19, 2016, Russia’s government-owned nuclear agency Rosatom hopes to use South Africa as a springboard into the rest Africa as it seeks to expand its influence on the continent by building nuclear power plants.

Rosatom plans to sign framework cooperation agreements with Kenya, Uganda and Zambia, adding to those already made with South Africa, Nigeria and Ghana, Reuters reported.

Right now, South Africa may be the best prospect. Nigeria looks less likely as its economy contracts in the global oil price plunge.

“Given the extremely bad economic situation in Nigeria today, it might take a bit longer. But the government and the new president are still determined to go nuclear,” said Viktor Polikarpov, Rosatom’s vice-president of sub-Saharan Africa.

South Africa in 2015 approved a plan to develop up to 600 megawatts of nuclear capacity by 2030 as part of a bigger plan to build 9,600 megawatts of nuclear power at up to nine new nuclear reactors……

Environmental activist group Greenpeace warned the ANC in 2015 to abandon nuclear build plans or face massive resistance, NuclearNews reported.

“The ANC needs to know that if it does go for the nuclear option as part of the (energy) mix, then they are on a collision course with the broader spectrum of the South African civil society,” said Greenpeace Director Kumi Naidoo said on Monday that the ANC should “take nuclear off the table.

Russia has competition to do the nuclear build from China, France and South Korea, Reuters reported. It’s already planning to seek more deals across the region that range from building power plants to supplying reactor fuel.

“What we are targeting is to build South Africa as a nuclear cluster of nuclear industries so that we can use our partners and our partnership for our expansion into Africa,” Polikarpov said in an interview Tuesday in Cape Town.

Rosatom can offer financing options, Polikarpov said, according to Bloomberg. These include a contract with a state-export credit offered to the government of South Africa, a buyer-owner operator agreement, a public-private partnership, or a combination of them…….

The allure of the turnkey nuclear power plant, built, owned and operated by Rosatom, allows governments across the world to embrace such projects. But for Russia they are much more than a major economic export. They are another geopolitical tool, allowing the Kremlin to tie up strategic governments into long-term cooperation. http://afkinsider.com/126032/how-russia-is-expanding-its-vast-nuclear-empire-into-africa/

May 20, 2016 Posted by | AFRICA, marketing, Russia, South Africa | Leave a comment

Egypt goes into $25 billion nuclear debt to Russia

Russian-Bearflag-EgyptEgypt gets $25 billion loan from Russia for nuclear plant http://www.theprovince.com/business/egypt+gets+billion+loan+from+russia+nuclear+plant/11930248/story.html BY THE ASSOCIATED PRESS MAY 19, 2016 CAIRO – Egypt has announced a $25 billion loan from Russia for the building of a nuclear power plant.

Thursday’s announcement came in a decree by President Abdel-Fattah el-Sissi. The Russian loan will cover 85 per cent of the expenses of the plant’s construction.

Egypt, which will cover the other 15 per cent, is to repay the loan over a 22-year period, starting in 2029, with a 3 per cent annual interest rate.

Egypt and Russia agreed in February 2015 to build the plant together and signed a memorandum of understanding on the project. But the relations between the two nations were badly impacted after the horrific Russian passenger plane crash in Sinai last October, when all 224 people on board were killed.

Egypt’s economy has plummeted amid a slump in the tourism sector.

May 20, 2016 Posted by | Egypt, marketing, Russia | Leave a comment

Chinese nuclear companies planning to carve up nuclear exports between each other

Buy-China-nukes-1China’s CGN to Avoid Competing Abroad Against Nuclear Partner http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-19/china-s-cgn-to-avoid-competing-abroad-against-nuclear-partner   sstapczynski  

  • China General Nuclear Power Corp. to focus on European markets
  • Nuclear companies formed a JV to export co-developed reactor
  • China General Nuclear Power Corp. said it won’t compete with China National Nuclear Corp. for customers in the same overseas markets as the two companies aim to increase exports of their co-developed nuclear reactor.

    China General Nuclear Power will target customers in Europe and avoid markets where CNNC is active, such as South America, according to Huang Xiaofei, spokesman for China General Nuclear Power. CNNC didn’t respond to requests for comment. While the companies have merged their nuclear technologies into the Hualong One reactor, the country’s main export model, they separately market the design overseas, Huang said.

    The companies build similar, but not identical, versions of the Hualong One and will maintain much of their own supply chains, according to the World Nuclear Association.They also established a joint-venture in March to integrate the technology.

     CGN and Electricite de France SA signed an accord in October to build three reactors in the U.K., including the Hinkley Point plant in southwest England and a Chinese-developed reactor at Bradwell. CGN has also signed a memorandum of understanding with the Kenyan government in September to possibly build a Hualong One reactor, while CNNC has its own projects in Argentina and Pakistan.
  • Taishan

    Separately, two Areva SA-designed nuclear reactors in Taishan are on track to start commercial operation in China in the first half of 2017, according to Huang. The cost overrun for the reactors, known as an EPR, was caused by labor costs and loan interest and were within a reasonable range, he said. The company also plans to deliver its first small modular reactor, which can be used offshore, by 2020, he said

    The country plans to export about 30 nuclear units by 2030, CNNC chairman Sun Qin said in March, according to China Daily.

May 20, 2016 Posted by | business and costs, China, marketing | Leave a comment

Solar energy jobs growing, as oil industry jobs decline

green-collarThere Will Be More New Jobs in Solar Than Oil by the End of the Year,Fortune by Jonathan Chew @sochews APRIL 20, 2016, Indeed just released this startling info on energy jobs.

The world’s biggest oil companies are slashing jobs to cope with decreasing revenues, and one knock-on effect has been the drop in oil job postings.

Conversely, however, if the current pace of postings hold, solar would become the largest market for energy jobs by the fourth quarter of 2016, according to numbers tabulated by Indeed, the world’s highest traffic job site…….

Tara Sinclair, chief economist at Indeed. “Whether or not solar overtakes oil on Indeed, energy workers would do well to position themselves for work in renewable fields such as solar, wind, and hydroelectricity.”

This corresponds with a recent report by The Solar Foundation that highlighted the rapid growth of the U.S. clean energy sector. By the end of this year, the solar sector should have 240,000 workers under its wings, and currently employs around 77% more workers than the coal mining industry……http://fortune.com/2016/04/20/solar-oil-jobs-indeed/

May 20, 2016 Posted by | employment, renewable, USA | Leave a comment

EDF hoping to extend life of nuclear reactors, postpone decommisson costs

AREVA EDF crumblingEDF sees French energy plan shaping nuclear depreciation schedule http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-edf-nuclear-idUKKCN0YA211  PARIS | BY GEERT DE CLERCQ  19 May 16.The French government’s energy investment plan due in July will be a key indicator for whether and for how long EDF will extend the depreciation period of its nuclear plants, an executive said on Thursday.

EDF hopes to get nuclear energy regulator ASN’s authorisation to extend the lifespan of its nuclear plants to 50 years from 40, and already wants to extend the depreciation period on these assets, which would boost bottom-line profit.

Early this year ASN said it expects to give generic guidelines on French nuclear plant life extensions by 2018, but said extensions could not be taken for granted and that they would be decided reactor by reactor.

The government’s long-awaited multi-year energy investment plan (PPE) – implementing the August 2015 energy transition law – will not specify reactor lifespan, but should set targets for the share of nuclear in France‘s power mix.

President Francois Hollande has vowed to reduce that share from 75 percent to 50 by 2025, but has taken no concrete steps towards that goal.

“The PPE, and notably its nuclear chapter, expected early July, will figure largely in our decision about the accounting lifespan of our nuclear reactors,” EDF nuclear chief Dominique Miniere told reporters.

In 2003, EDF extended the depreciation schedule for its reactors in its accounts to 40 years from 30 – six years before the ASN authorised the move.

CEO Jean-Bernard Levy said in April EDF plans to extend the depreciation period by the closing of first-half results.

Miniere said the PPE should signal how many of EDF’s 58 reactors can keep operating, which will determine over what period reactors and related maintenance costs can be depreciated.

He said life extension would also impact EDF’s 23 billion euros (1 billion pounds) worth of decommissioning and nuclear waste provisions.

“Delaying reactor decommissioning also means delaying provisions,” he said. Miniere said 80 percent of EDF’s 58 reactors were built between 1980 and 1990. From 2020, many need to close or get approval operate another decade.

Miniere said every reactor has annual maintenance costs of about 50 million euros, or about 3 billion euros per year for EDF’s fleet.

Extending EDF’s reactors by 10 years and incorporating safety lessons learned from the Fukushima disaster will boost that to 4-4.2 billion euros per year in the 2014-2025 period, a total of just over 50 billion, after which costs will ease to 4.2-3 billion euros per year, he said.   (Reporting by Geert De Clercq, editing by David Evans)

May 20, 2016 Posted by | business and costs, France, politics | Leave a comment

France’s President Hollande backs Hinkley nuclear project, despite near bankruptcy of EDF

Hollande-salesHollande renews support for Hinkley Point nuclear reactors http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/may/17/hollande-renews-support-edf-hinkley-point-nuclear-reactors

French president backs project despite fears that £18bn price tag could bankrupt EDF, which is 85% state-owned  François Hollande has renewed his support for the controversial nuclear project planned by the French energy company EDF at Hinkley Point in Britain.

“I am in favour that this project goes ahead,” the French president told Europe 1 radio on Tuesday.

“It’s very important to understand that we need a high-performance, highly secure nuclear industry in France, and that we cannot let others take over terrain, including on exports, that has been French up to now,” he said.

A final decision on the plan to build two new-generation nuclear reactors at Hinkley Point in south-west England was due this month, but was delayed after unions at EDF demanded a review of the costs.

A joint project between EDF and China General Nuclear Power Corporation, it carries a projected price tag of £18bn ($26bn, €23bn) that will make it one of the world’s most expensive nuclear power plants.

Unions at EDF, which is 85% state-owned, fear it could bankrupt the company, which is already saddled with more than €37bn of debt.

Last month, the management agreed to consult the internal committee which has brought in outside experts to review the financial implications of the project.

Hollande said the review would be completed “in the coming weeks”.

There have been dissenting voices over Hinkley Point within the French government.

On Friday, France’s environment minister Ségolène Royal, who is also mother to Hollande’s children, told the Financial Times that she was worried about the “colossal sums” involved in the project and questioned whether it should go ahead

Ratings agencies Standard and Poor’s and Moody’s both lowered their forecasts for EDF last week, saying efforts to streamline the company were insufficient.

Hollande restated his vow to restructure and boost financing at EDF and rival energy giant Areva, “because they are the future”.

“The French nuclear industry has 200,000 employees. It represents our energy independence,” Hollande told Europe 1.

“EDF and Areva are public companies on which we should rely. But at the same time, we must give them new support.”

CGN, which is due to cover a third of the costs, said on Monday that it would not go ahead with the project if EDF pulls out.

May 18, 2016 Posted by | France, marketing, politics, politics international | Leave a comment

Uranium industry finally acknowledging its dire situation

Uranium on the rocks http://onlineopinion.com.au/view.asp?article=18236&page=0

burial NUCLEAR INDUSTRY

By Jim Green , 17 May 2016 Indicative of the uranium industry’s worldwide malaise, mining giant Cameco recently announced the suspension of production at Rabbit Lake and reduced production at McArthur River/Key Lake in Canada. Cameco is also curtailing production at its two U.S. uranium mines. About 500 jobs will be lost at Rabbit Lake and 85 at the U.S. mines. A Cameco statement said that “with today’s oversupplied market and uncertainty as to how long these market conditions will persist, we need to focus our resources on our lowest cost assets and maintain a strong balance sheet.”Christopher Ecclestone, mining strategist at Hallgarten & Company, offered this glum assessment of the uranium market: “The long-held theory during the prolonged mining sector slump was that Uranium as an energy metal could potentially break away irrespective of the rest of the metals space. How true they were, but not in the way they intended, for just as the mining space has broken out of its swoon the Uranium price has not only been left behind but has gone into reverse. This is truly dismaying for the trigger for a uranium rebound was supposed to be the Japanese nuclear restart and yet it has had zero effect and indeed maybe has somehow (though the logic escapes us) resulted in a lower price.”Ecclestone adds that uranium has “made fools and liars of many in recent years, including ourselves” and that “uranium bulls know how Moses felt when he was destined to wander forty years in the desert and never get to see the Promised Land.” He states that uranium exploration “is for the birds” because “the market won’t fund it and investors won’t give credit for whatever you find”.

The Minerals Council of Australia launched a pro-uranium social media campaign last month. The twitter hashtag #untappedpotential was soon trending but – as an AAP piece noted – contributors were overwhelmingly critical. No doubt the Minerals Council anticipated the negative publicity but what it didn’t anticipate is the uranium price falling to an 11-year low. Mining.com noted in an April 20 article that the current low price hasn’t been seen since May 2005. The current price, under US26/lb, is well under half the price just before the 2011 Fukushima disaster, and under one-fifth of the 2007 peak of a bubble.

Mining.com quotes a Haywood Securities research note which points out that the spot uranium price “saw three years of back-to-back double-digit percentage losses from 2011-13, but none worse than what we’ve seen thus far in 2016, and at no point since Fukushima, did the average weekly spot price dip below $28 a pound.” Haywood Securities notes that an over-supplied market continues to inflate global inventories.

Mining.comnotes that five years after the Fukushima disaster, only two of Japan’s nuclear reactors are back online (and yet another permanent reactor closure was announced on May 15), and that in other developed markets nuclear power is also in retreat. The last reactor start-up in the U.S. was 20 years ago. The French Parliament legislated last year to reduce the country’s reliance on nuclear power by one-third. Germany is phasing out nuclear power, as are several other countries. The European Commission recently released a report predicting that the EU’s nuclear power retreat ‒ down 14% over the past decade ‒ will continue.

China is a growth market but has amassed a “staggering” stockpile of yellowcake according to Macquarie Bank. India’s nuclear power program is in a “deep freeze” according to the Hindustan Times (unfortunately the same cannot be said about its nuclear weapons program), while India’s energy minister Piyush Goyal said on April 20 that India is not in a “tearing hurry” to expand nuclear power since there are unresolved questions about cost, safety and liability waivers sought by foreign companies.

A decision on two planned reactors in the UK could be announced in the near future and the cost – A$48 billion for the two reactors – goes a long way to explaining nuclear power’s worldwide stagnation. If the project proceeds, the industry will be hoping it doesn’t go three times over budget and lag 5-9 years behind schedule, as reactor projects in France and Finland have.

Even if all of Japan’s 42 reactors are included in the count, the number of power reactors operating worldwide is the same now as it was a decade ago. And there is little likelihood that nuclear power will break out of its long stagnation in the foreseeable future, with the ageing of the global reactor fleet a growing problem for the industry. As former World Nuclear Association executive Steve Kidd noted earlier this year: “The future is likely to repeat the experience of 2015 when 10 new reactors came into operation worldwide but 8 shut down. So as things stand, the industry is essentially running to stand still.”

Australia’s uranium industry is also struggling just to stand still. The industry accounts for just 0.2 percent of national export revenue and less than 0.01 percent of all jobs in Australia. Those underwhelming figures are likely to become even less whelming with the end of mining and the winding down of processing at the Ranger mine in the NT.

May 18, 2016 Posted by | 2 WORLD, business and costs, Reference, Uranium | Leave a comment

America’s Nuclear Regulatory Commission set to exempt nuclear corporations from safety costs and liabilities

text-my-money-2Flag-USAUS nuclear industry’s plan thanks to NRC: let taxpayers carry the can for closed power plants, Ecologist Linda Pentz Gunter13th May 2016   With five reactors closed in the last three years, the US nuclear industry is in shutdown mode, writes Linda Pentz Gunter – and that means big spending on decommissioning. But now the nuclear regulator is set to exempt owners from safety and emergency costs at their closed plants – allowing them to walk away from the costs and liabilities, and palm them onto taxpayers.

Aging and dangerous nuclear power plants are closing. This should be cause for celebration. We will all be safer now, right? Well, not exactly.

nuke-reactor-deadUS nuclear power plant owners are currently pouring resources into efforts to circumvent the already virtually non-existent regulations for the dismantlement and decommissioning of permanently closed nuclear reactors.

And sad to say, many on the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), the industry’s ever compliant lapdog, are trotting happily by their side.

There is an occasional lone critic. NRC Commissioner Jeff Baran, observed that the“NRC does not currently have regulations specifically tailored for this transition from operations to decommissioning. As a result, licensees with reactors transitioning to decommissioning routinely seek exemptions from many of the regulations applicable to operating reactors.”

The inevitable result is that reactor owners will successfully avoid spending money now on decommissioning as they seek to delay beginning the actual cleanup work for the next half century and maybe longer. Later, when it comes time to finish the job, the owners – and the money – could well be long gone.

US reactor owners rely on ‘decommissioning trust fund’ investments to pay for decommissioning activities. But these are failing to accrue adequate funds to do the job. Many of the trusts are incurring annual losses on their investments.

In fact, the US Government Accountability Office (GAO) has found the NRC’s financing formula for decommissioning trust funds to be fundamentally flawed, resulting in the utilities ability to accrue only 57% to 75% of the needed funds……..http://www.theecologist.org/News/news_analysis/2987679/us_nuclear_industrys_plan_thanks_to_nrc_let_taxpayers_carry_the_can_for_closed_power_plants.html

May 16, 2016 Posted by | business and costs, decommission reactor, politics, safety, USA | Leave a comment

India to sell nuclear reactors to Bangladesh (But what if Bangladesh is under water before long?)

nuclear-marketing-crapflag-indiaIndia, Bangladesh power ties with 21st-century nuclear deal Times of India | TNN | May 15, 2016, NEW DELHI: India has concluded a nuclear agreement with Bangladesh in a sign that the bilateral neighbourhood relationship is becoming special. …..The nuclear agreement is a three-document package that has been negotiated between the MEA and the Bangladesh department of science and technology over the past few months……

Four Indian companies — BHEL, Reliance, Shapoorji-Pallonji and Adani — have bid to build power plants in Bangladesh. The Indian nuclear deal will equip and train Bangladesh to import their first nuclear power plant from Russia. It’s a very big deal for Bangladesh and almost unique for India…….http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/India-Bangladesh-power-ties-with-21st-century-nuclear-deal/articleshow/52274994.cms

May 16, 2016 Posted by | India, marketing | Leave a comment