public opinion « nuclear-news

Eight in Ten Support Nuclear Arms Control with Russia, Disagree with Trump Decision to Withdraw from Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty

UMD Survey Finds Large Bipartisan Majorities Favor Prohibiting President from Using Nuclear Weapons First Without Congressional Approval, Yahoo Finance, PR Newswire May 21, 2019 Eight in Ten Support Nuclear Arms Control with Russia, Disagree with Trump Decision to Withdraw from Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty

A new in-depth survey on U.S. nuclear weapons policy finds that 68% of voters (Republicans 59%, Democrats 74%), support Congressional legislation prohibiting the President from using nuclear weapons first without Congressional approval and a declaration of war. An overwhelming 8 in 10, of Republicans as well as Democrats, do not support a policy shift in the Trump administration’s Nuclear Posture Review that explicitly declares the U.S. would consider using nuclear weapons first and specifies examples of non-nuclear attacks that would prompt such consideration. The study was conducted by the Program for Public Consultation (PPC) and the Center for International and Security Studies (CISSM) at Maryland, with consultation by the Center for Public Integrity.

Support for nuclear arms control remains very robust across party lines. More than 8 in 10 (83%, Republicans 84%, Democrats 83%), favor the US continuing to have arms control treaties with Russia. Eight in ten (82%, Republicans 77%, Democrats 89%) favor the United States agreeing to extend the New START Treaty.

“A large bipartisan majority opposes ideas for making nuclear threats a more usable instrument of policy and favors continuing efforts to constrain and reduce nuclear weapons through arms control treaties,” comments Steven Kull, director of PPC. ……….

The public is not convinced that having intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) is necessary. Six in ten, including a majority of Republicans, favor phasing out the 400 US land-based ICBMs that are aging and are vulnerable to a first strike. However, only one-third favor unilaterally reducing the net number of strategic warheads in the U.S. arsenal to 1050 rather than adding warheads to U.S. submarines and bombers if the Russians still have 1550 warheads (the number allowed under New START).

Overwhelming bipartisan majorities agree that the US must have a nuclear arsenal destructive enough that no country could think that there would be any advantage in attacking the United States with nuclear weapons. A plurality (49%) also agree that this minimum requirement is sufficient, and that the US does not need a nuclear arsenal which could also respond in-kind to any nuclear attack. However, when asked about a proposal in line with that requirement, in which the US would put low-yield nuclear weapons on submarines so that it can retaliate against a Russian attack using a similar weapon, two thirds were in favor.

Contact: Steven Kull (PPC) 301-254-7500, skull@umd.edu
Nancy Gallagher (CISSM) 301-405-7610 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/umd-survey-finds-large-bipartisan-majorities-favor-prohibiting-195000854.html

May 21, 2019 Posted by Christina Macpherson | public opinion, USA | Leave a comment

Chinese public’s trust in government means that nuclear power better able to go ahead in China

China and the Nuclear Debate, China’s nuclear energy sector is expanding amid the glow of positive public opinion. The Diplomat, By Layne Vandenberg, May 15, 2019 “……… The Diplomat sat down with Tobi Du, a Yenching Scholar at the Yenching Academy at Peking University to discuss nuclear issues in East Asia, how Chinese view nuclear threats, and the development of nuclear energy……..

Although China is one of the five official nuclear weapons states as designated by the Treaty on the Nonproliferation of Nuclear Weapons, China has historically supported North Korea. While China does facilitate denuclearization talks, it definitely does not feel threatened in the same way that the U.S. and Japan do considering North Korea has explicitly stated that its nuclear weapons program is intended to deter the U.S. and its allies. Because of this, people in China are not currently as sensitive to nuclear threats as they are in other countries. ……

Despite the lack of public support for development of the nuclear energy industry in most other countries, research shows that the Chinese public is not strongly against nuclear power. ……

[following the Fukushima nuclear accident] despite a negative outlook for nuclear energy globally, China is unique in that the public did not become as opposed to the development of nuclear energy.

Trust in the government has a lot to do with this. Since Chinese citizens generally possess a low level of knowledge about nuclear energy and related issues, the public places a significant amount of trust in the government to conduct its own assessments and accepts the results. Generally, the Fukushima nuclear accident did not affect the direction of Chinese policy for nuclear energy but prompted a more careful and measured attitude towards implementation.

Considering China’s unique ability to interact with and shape public discourse around sensitive topics, public input in decision-making is minimal because of this control. The central government is able to implement the nuclear energy industry in China as it sees fit.

In contrast to China’s more receptive public opinion, most countries are keenly cognizant of issues related to nuclear weapons, and mostly focus on these issues and their accompanying negative connotations. …..

So while it is true that Chinese people generally have a more positive opinion of nuclear energy in China than in other countries after Fukushima, it is China’s political governance that allows the country to push forward with nuclear power.…….. https://thediplomat.com/2019/05/china-and-the-nuclear-debate/

May 16, 2019 Posted by Christina Macpherson | China, public opinion | 2 Comments

In USA most men support nuclear power, but most women do not.

Americans love clean energy. Do they care if it includes nuclear?

A new poll gets deep into voter preferences on climate policy. VOX, By David Roberts @drvox david@vox.com Apr 23, 2019, “………. Nuclear power: The numbers on nuclear power are fascinatingly all over the place. More Republicans than Democrats support it, and more Democrats than Republicans oppose, but not by a ton in either case. The biggest split was not by party but by gender, with 62 percent of men somewhat or strongly supporting it and just 32 percent of women. ……. https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2019/4/23/18507297/nuclear-energy-renewables-voters-poll

April 25, 2019 Posted by Christina Macpherson | public opinion, USA | Leave a comment

Most Americans doubt that the Trump summit will result in North Korea giving up nuclear weapons

Poll: Majority skeptical North Korea will give up nuclear weapons as a result of Trump summit http://thehill.com/policy/international/392677-poll-majority-skeptical-north-korea-will-give-up-nuclear-weapons-as-a, BY LUIS SANCHEZ – 06/17/18

Most Americans in a new poll are skeptical that President Trump’s meeting with Kim Jong Un will lead North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons.

Fifty-three percent said that it’s unlikely last week’s Singapore summit will lead North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons, a new ABC News/Washington Post poll found.

Although most Americans remain skeptical following the summit, the historic meeting apparently did improve people’s expectations about denuclearization.

The number of Americans who see denuclearization as likely has increased from 30 percent to 41 percent, the poll found.

The summit, which ended with a vague joint accord stating a commitment to “denuclearize” the Korean Peninsula, has left many unsure of what will happen next.

FIFTY-FIVE PERCENT OF PEOPLE IN THE NEW POLL SAID THAT IT WAS TOO EARLY TO TELL WHETHER OR NOT THE SUMMIT CAN BE CALLED A SUCCESS FOR THE U.S.

LESS THAN ONE-THIRD, 29 PERCENT, SAID THE SUMMIT WAS A SUCCESS FOR NORTH KOREA AND ONLY 21 PERCENT SAID THE SAME ABOUT THE U.S.

FORTY-TWO PERCENT ALSO SAID WAR IS NOW LESS LIKELY IN THE LONG TERM, WHILE 39 PERCENT SAID THAT THE SUMMIT MADE NO DIFFERENCE TO THE LIKELIHOOD OF WAR.

THE POLL SURVEYED 495 ADULTS FROM JUNE 13-15. IT HAS A SAMPLING ERROR OF 5.5 PERCENTAGE POINTS.

June 18, 2018 Posted by Christina Macpherson | politics international, public opinion, USA | Leave a comment

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) rejected Trump Administration’s plan to rescue coal and nuclear industries

Massive FERC Flop For Plan To Save Coal & Nuclear Power Plants, Clean Technica, June 13th, 2018 by Tina Casey

The Trump Administration has devised a new plan for saving the nation’s aging fleet of coal and nuclear power plants, but so far it has been going over like a lead balloon. At a Senate hearing yesterday, all five members of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission gave it the thumbs down.

Wait — what? Did you really think there was a chance the plan get the seal of approval from any of the FERC commissioners? Come to think of it, maybe. After all, the FERC Chairman himself was appointed by President* Trump. So, what went wrong at yesterday’s hearing?

What’s The Plan, Stan?

The new plan leverages the Energy Department’s authority to keep the electricity flowing under the federal Power Act. Here’s an explainer from the agency (emphasis added because that’s the important bit):

Under FPA section 202(c) during the continuance of a war in which the United States is engaged or when an emergency exists by reason of a sudden increase in the demand for electric energy, or a shortage of electric energy, or of facilities for the generation or transmission of electric energy, or of the fuel or water for generating facilities, or other causes, the Secretary of Energy may require by order temporary connections of facilities, and generation, delivery, interchange, or transmission of electricity as the Secretary determines will best meet the emergency and serve the public interest.

Fair enough. The question is whether or not an emergency exists, and at yesterday’s hearing the FERC commissioners couldn’t find anything in that long list of section 202(c) emergencies that would apply to the nation’s fleet of coal and nuclear power plants.

Meet The New Plan, Same As The Old Plan

More to the point, November’s midterm Congressional elections are fast approaching, so anything that looks like a taxpayer bailout is doomed to fail.

CleanTechnica predicted as much in a piece published Monday morning, before yesterday’s Senate hearing got under way………https://cleantechnica.com/2018/06/13/massive-ferc-flop-for-plan-to-save-coal-nuclear-power-plants/

June 15, 2018 Posted by Christina Macpherson | public opinion, USA | Leave a comment

Poll shows that Americans fear Trump’s ability to launch nuclear weapons, and doubt his mental stability

The majority of Americans are afraid of Trump’s ability to launch nuclear missiles. They also don’t have a lot of faith in his mental stability. Vox, By Rachel Wolfe rachel.wolfe@vox.com Jan 23, 2018, We may no longer be teaching American schoolchildren how to “duck and cover,” but a new Washington Post/ABC News poll shows the threat of nuclear war is once again on the minds of the American populace. A new poll finds most Americans don’t trust President Trump with the power to launch nuclear weapons, and a majority are at least “somewhat” concerned that he’ll launch an unjustified attack.

The poll comes less than a month after Trump’s tweet comparing the size of his “nuclear button” to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un’s.

Democrats are far more likely than Republicans to report fear, for example, with almost six in 10 Democrats saying they are “very concerned” about Trump ordering an unjustified nuclear attack, compared to about three in 10 independents and fewer than one in 10 Republicans.

Gender also plays a role, with twice as many women as men saying they are “very” concerned Trump could launch a nuclear attack — 42 percent versus 22 percent.

Those who are most concerned about him launching a nuclear attack without justification are also those who have the least confidence in his mental stability. Only 48 percent of respondents said they thought Trump was mentally stable when asked about the president’s description of himself as a “very stable genius.” Forty-seven percent, meanwhile, don’t think he’s mentally stable.

Eighty-four percent of those who say Trump is not mentally stable are at least somewhat concerned that he could launch an unwarranted nuclear attack, while 72 percent of those who say Trump is stable trust him to handle nuclear weapons……… https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/1/23/16923020/americans-afraid-trump-nuclear-missiles-launch-mental-stability

January 24, 2018 Posted by Christina Macpherson | public opinion, USA, weapons and war | Leave a comment

Ohio Republicans oppose coal, nuclear bailouts, – statewide poll finds

GOP voters support green energy, oppose coal, nuclear bailouts, statewide poll finds http://www.cleveland.com/business/index.ssf/2018/01/gop_voters_support_green_energ.html, Jan 11, A state-wide poll of conservative Ohio voters finds that 85 percent would pay something extra in their monthly bills for power generated by renewable technologies such as wind and solar. Nearly half of those polled said they would be willing to pay between $10 and $20 extra every month for green power. The release of the polling results by the Ohio Conservative Energy Forum comes as state lawmakers begin hearings on legislation mandating renewable energy, minimum property setback rules for wind turbines, as well as new subsidies for old coal and nuclear power plants.

By John Funk, The Plain Dealer

CLEVELAND, Ohio — Conservative Ohio voters, whether Independent or Republican, are tired of utilities asking for special charges for coal and nuclear power plants, support mandatory energy-efficiency programs, favor home solar systems and are willing to pay higher monthly bills for renewable energy.

These are findings in a poll commissioned by the Ohio Conservative Energy Forum reveal grassroot attitudes are at odds with the speeches and actions of GOP legislative leaders during the past several years.

GOP lawmakers have repeatedly tried to kill state renewable standards, only to see Gov. John Kasich veto the legislation. Republican leadership has also tried to create extra charges on behalf of utilities that own old coal and nuclear power plants and find it difficult to compete with wind farms and gas turbine power plants.

Kasich, while touring a new gas turbine power plant last fall, specifically spoke against new state-created fees that FirstEnergy has been seeking for its Davis-Besse and Perry nuclear power plants.

Public Opinion Strategies, a Colorado-based polling company widely used by Republican candidates, including those in the Ohio House and Senate, interviewed 400 conservative Republican and Independent voters between Dec. 7 and Dec. 11. The margin of error is 4.9 percent.

The results show that support for green issues has grown since the company did an initial survey in the fall of 2016, said Lori Weigel, a partner in the polling firm.

Key points in the survey results include:

- Conservative voters generally support an “all of the above” position on how electricity is generated, not wanting to limit the newer technologies.
- About a quarter of those surveyed think at least half of the power sold in Ohio should come from renewable sources, while four in 10 think 51 percent to 100 percent should be generated by renewable technologies.
- Two-thirds of the voters who were asked how they felt about monthly surcharges to keep old coal power plants running said they opposed such charges. Surcharges for FirstEnergy’s nuclear fleet were rejected by a larger margin, 69 percent.
- A significant plurality, 43 percent, believe that increasing wind and solar installations in Ohio will create jobs. Amazon and Facebook have repeatedly stressed that they want to power their facilities with renewable energy.
- Conservatives are willing to pay higher monthly bills for green power, with 27 percent saying they would pay $10 a month extra and another 14 percent willing to pay $20 a month extra.
- The willingness to support green energy with higher monthly bills is evident across all income levels, with nine out of 10 voters earning less than $40,000 annually saying they would be willing to pay more.
- Nearly eight out of 10 conservative voters indicated they would be willing to tell Republican candidates to support energy efficiency policies and the growth of wind and solar in the state.
- Overall, 82 percent said they would support energy efficiency programs, 60 percent said they would support rules requiring more green energy in the state, 87 percent net metering rules that require utilities to pay customers with solar arrays for extra power they generate, and 76 percent said they support increasing research and development into better battery storage systems.

Sen. Matt Dolan, R-Chagrin Falls, who did not see the poll but has sponsored a bill to amend the state’s current restrictive wind turbine property setback rules, said he thinks voter support for wind and solar will be even stronger “when the economics of moving toward renewables are revealed.

“When you talk to CEOs today, they are asking about your taxes, workforce development, regulations and energy. And they have added a question about energy. It used to be just about reliability. Now it’s about source, where is the energy coming from.

“What this poll helps me be able to argue is that this is no longer a political issue. This is the direction of our state, where we need to invest.”

Michael Hartley, a consultant with the Ohio Conservative Energy Forum, said the group is now talking to policy makers in the legislature and the Kasich administration about the poll results.

“The poll clearly shows that conservatives support energy efficiency policies and see it as a way to create more jobs and move Ohio forward,” he said.

Current state law requires that 12.5 percent of the electricity sold by power companies be from renewable technologies by 2027. Using information on file at the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio, Hartley said the cost of providing renewable energy to customers currently averages $4.44 a year, state-wide.

The extra cost for Cleveland Electric Illuminating customers is 6 cents per month, or 72 cents a year. Ohio Edison customers pay an extra 7 cents per month and Toledo Edison customers an extra 11 cents a month.

January 12, 2018 Posted by Christina Macpherson | public opinion, USA | Leave a comment

Survey finds strong support in France for renewable energy, not nuclear

French people support energy transition, survey reveals, Energy Transition by Energiewende Team19 Dec 2017“……… It is often said that the French people strongly support nuclear energy as a jewel of the French industry. However, a survey commissioned by the French office of the Heinrich Boell Foundation and the French Think tank La Fabrique écologique, carried out by the research institute Harris Interactive, shows that the French people would rather like to pull up the anchor and set sail for a new model based on renewable energy.

Indeed, 91 % of interviewees consider the energy transition as “priority issue” (47%) or a “major issue” (44%). 63% see the energy transition as an opportunity rather than as a threat (11 %). But what should energy transition look like, according to them?

A clear preference for the development of renewable energy

The trend is very clear: 83 % of French people think France should prioritize investments in renewable energy. Only 12% of the interviewees prefer that investments go towards the modernization and life extension of nuclear power plants. 66 % of respondents come out against the construction of new nuclear power plants. It shows that the advertising and constantly repeated arguments that nuclear energy – often described as “clean energy” – is the only adequate solution when it comes to fighting climate change is not having the intended effect on French public opinion.

Also surprising is the fact that the actor in which the French people have the most confidence to lead the energy transition is neither the state (trusted by 49% of the interviewees) nor the energy producers and providers like the state owned EDF (trusted by only 46%). Rather, people trust citizen energy cooperatives (trusted by 78%), as well as NGOs and associations (trusted by 66 %).

A positive view of the Energiewende

Another salient point of the survey is the opinion of the French people about the German energy transition. Respondents perceived the German Energiewende much more positively than their economic and political elites……..

Over half of them see the Energiewende as “a good example for the energy transition.” Last but not least, the French people think France should work more closely with Europe (54%) and with Germany (51%) on energy issues……

The complete results of the survey (in French) are available here: Enquête “Le rapport des Francais à l’énergie” – Harris Interactive

In the press :

December 22, 2017 Posted by Christina Macpherson | France, public opinion, renewable | Leave a comment

Enormous survey over 13 countries shows that UK citizens want solar power, not nuclear

Solar Power Portal 15th Nov 2017, The majority of UK respondents to the largest survey of attitudes towards green energy ever conducted would like to see more solar power used compared to other generation technologies. The Ørsted Green Energy Barometer, which surveyed more than 26,000 people across 13 countries, asked just over 2,000 people in the UK where they would like to see more of their energy come from.

The results showed that the most common answer wassolar, with over three quarters (77%) preferring the technology to its closest competitors, tidal power (71%) and offshore wind (70%). Natural gas
and nuclear, the two technologies being pursued most vigorously by the UK government, languished in bottom place with 34% and 31% respectively, while the survey did not even ask UK respondents for their views on coal, which is to be phased out by 2025.

	UK (2,020 respondents)	International average (26,401 respondents)
Solar power	77%	80%
Tidal power	71%	58%
Offshore wind	70%	67%
Onshore wind	61%	64%
Sustainably sourced biomass	53%	51%
Natural gas	34%	37%
Nuclear	31%	26%

https://www.solarpowerportal.co.uk/news/new_evidence_of_overwhelming_public_support_for_solar

November 16, 2017 Posted by Christina Macpherson | public opinion, renewable, UK | Leave a comment

North Koreans support Kim Jong un’s bellicose policies

North Koreans undaunted by the prospect of nuclear war http://www.euronews.com/2017/10/19/north-koreans-undaunted-by-the-prospect-of-nuclear-war, By Robert Hackwill, 19/10/2017

President Donald Trump’s bellicose rhetoric on North Korea appears to have had the effect of stiffening people’s resolve, with some North Koreans even believing they could survive nuclear conflict.

In this newly nuclear nation there seems to be more bikes on the road than cars. For decades they’ve had a military-first policy; that’s what we’re going to see. We are very quickly learning that President Trump’s rhetoric is having a profound effect. Officials here, talking to us about President Trump, the Vice Foreign Minister warning that he believes this region is on the brink of war, and if that is the case, then we are standing here on the front line,” reports NBC’s Kier Simmons.

“This is the border, the demilitarised zone between the north and South Korea. President Trump is expected to visit South Korea next month. I asked a Lieutenant-Colonel who is based here ‘What do you think about President Trump?’ He said to me, very plainly, that he believes the president is mentally ill. I spoke to another North Korean official who’s the father of a young son, and I said to him, ‘Aren’t you frightened by the prospect of war?’ And you know what he said to me? He said that all his life he has felt as if his existence is threatened by the United States, and he said that he thinks that North Korea and the North Koreans could even survive a nuclear war.”

October 21, 2017 Posted by Christina Macpherson | North Korea, public opinion | Leave a comment

NBC News poll shows that three quarters of Americans fear that Trump is leading them into war

Three-quarters of Americans think Trump is going to lead them into war http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-war-poll-americans-think-president-lead-conflict-a8009401.html

Unlike the President, most Americans don’t think diplomacy is a waste of time, Andrew Buncombe New York ,@AndrewBuncombe

Almost three-quarters of Americans fear the US is to become involved in a “major conflict” in the next few years, according to a new survey.Amid escalating tensions with North Korea over its aggressive missile tests and development of nuclear warheads, combined with sabre-rattling from Donald Trump, 72 per cent of the population fears the country will become embroiled in such a war within four years.Most people believe the greatest threat to the US is from North Korea, followed by Isis and Russia. Only two per cent of people believe Iran is the greatest threat.
The NBC News/SurveyMonkey National Security poll also found that people are evenly divided on what represents the greatest form of threat – nuclear weapons, a cyber attack or terrorism.

October 20, 2017 Posted by Christina Macpherson | public opinion, USA | Leave a comment

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