An Extreme Ultimatum for Iran

The public still needs to be aware of the danger that the U.S. is on course to start a war with Iran for no good reason.

Daniel Larison, Mar 24, 2025, https://daniellarison.substack.com/p/an-extreme-ultimatum-for-iran?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=73370&post_id=159715611&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=ln98x&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email

Mike Waltz confirmed again that the Trump administration’s demands for Iran are extreme:

MARGARET BRENNAN: Can you clarify? Is the U.S. seeking the dismantlement of Iran’s nuclear program, or verification, like what President Obama put in place back in 2015 and President Trump pulled out of?

MIKE WALTZ: Full dismantlement [bold mine-DL]. Iran has to give up its program in a way that the entire world can see.

Recent remarks from Trump’s Middle East envoy seemed to suggest that the administration would be satisfied with an agreement that ensures that Iran’s nuclear program remained peaceful, but Waltz shot that idea down without qualification. The administration’s ultimatum to Iran is every bit as unreasonable as we thought, and the Iranian government is not going to agree to such humiliating terms. As we mark the 22nd anniversary of the invasion of Iraq this month, it is alarming to hear the drumbeat for another unnecessary and illegal war in the Middle East.

The demands that the administration delivered to Iran in Trump’s letter were far-reaching, and they touched on issues far beyond the nuclear program itself. In addition to telling Iran to give up domestic enrichment and their entire nuclear program, the president’s letter said that they are supposed to halt all support for allied groups throughout the region, and they must withdraw all their forces from Iraq and Syria. According to the Emirati official who delivered the letter, Trump gave Iran two months to comply with these demands or they would face “large-scale military action.”

This is unfortunately consistent with what we have been hearing for the last two months. Last month, it was reported that Trump had reached an understanding with Netanyahu on Iran that paved the way for military action. On a related note, Trump appeared to be on board with seeking a “Libya-style” dismantling of Iran’s entire nuclear program. This is such an obvious non-starter for Iran that we have to assume that the administration wants this to give themselves a pretext for war.

Later in the interview, Waltz said, “But we want to be clear, this isn’t some kind of, you know, kind of tit for tat that we had under the Obama administration, or Biden. This is the full program. Give it up, or there will be consequences.” The interviewer failed to ask Waltz what the consequences would be, but it is clear enough that this is a public threat to launch an unprovoked attack on Iran if their government refuses to cave to the administration’s preposterous demands.

When Trump kept Mike Pompeo out of the second administration, some people thought that this was a sign that the president wouldn’t be pursuing such a braindead, aggressive foreign policy this time around. So much for that. As it turns out, Trump’s foreign policy is every bit as hardline as it was when Pompeo and Bolton were there (and possibly even more so) because Trump favors hardline policies and reliably surrounds himself with hardline advisers. Pompeo may not be in government anymore, but judging from the absurd demands that Trump sent to Iran he might as well be.

Americans are understandably preoccupied with the extensive damage that the administration is causing at home, but the public still needs to be aware of the danger that the U.S. is on course to start a war with Iran for no good reason. If the administration is serious about this two-month deadline, it is possible that we could be looking a U.S. or U.S.-backed Israeli attack on Iran by the end of May. Americans need to begin organizing and mobilizing against that attack now if we are going to have any chance of stopping it.