nuclear-news

Iran in fact nowhere near acquiring nuclear weapon

An Israeli minister estimates that Iran is three years away from developing a nuclear weapon, a more long-term estimate than recent Israeli claims that an Iranian bomb was imminent.

Iran nuclear program delayed, says Israeli minister,  CSMonitor.com, 31 Dec 10, Contrasting with recent Israeli claims that the Iran nuclear threat was imminent, a top minister says that setbacks have put Iran three years away from acquiring a nuclear weapon.

An Israeli minister estimates that Iran is three years away from developing a nuclear weapon, a more long-term estimate than recent Israeli claims that an Iranian bomb was imminent.

Agence France-Presse reports that Moshe Yaalon, Israel’s strategic affairs minister, said on public radio Wednesday that “The Iranian nuclear programme has a number of technological challenges and difficulties,” putting it up to three years away from acquiring a nuclear weapon.

“These difficulties have postponed the timetable,” said Yaalon. “So we can’t talk about a point of no return. Iran does not have the ability to create nuclear weapons by itself at the moment.” …

Although Mr. Yaalon did not name the “difficulties” that Iran has encountered, he was most likely referring to the Stuxnet worm, a computer virus that causes centrifuges used for uranium enrichment to self-destruct. The Stuxnet worm appears to have hit Iran’s Natanz nuclear plant in 2009, hampering Iran’s ability to create the enriched uranium needed for nuclear weapons. Although no one has claimed responsibility for the creation of Stuxnet, there are some indications within its code that it may have been created in Israel.

The Daily Telegraph notes that a report written for the Institute of Science and International Security (ISIS) and released last week says the Stuxnet worm likely damaged the program and forced the replacement of some 1,000 centrifuges in the Natanz plant…..

Salon’s Justin Elliott suggests that Israel’s estimates should be taken with a grain of salt, as “Israeli predictions about Iran’s nuclear program have been wildly inconsistent and inaccurate for many years.”

Citing a timeline of Israeli claims about Iran’s nuclear weapons capabilities that he wrote earlier this month, Mr. Elliott points out that Israel has been claiming Iran would have nuclear weapons “in a few years” for nearly two decades…… Iran nuclear program delayed, says Israeli minister – CSMonitor.com

December 30, 2010 - Posted by Christina Macpherson | Iran, weapons and war